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Derecha-izquierda en Europa post-1945 mide cultura, no economía. Los dos polos comparten el marco socialdemócrata, discuten qué grupo identitario cobra primero del Estado. Macron está más cerca de Hayek que Vox. Es paradoja solo si uno se cree las etiquetas.
Vox concreto. Defiende pensiones públicas, no capitalización. Apoya los subsidios PAC, esa máquina UE que vacía al consumidor. Vota proteccionismo industrial. Impuesto al patrimonio para extranjeros. Hoy, 'NO A MERCOSUR'. Catálogo entero del proteccionista clásico.
La derecha europea contemporánea es socialdemocracia con bandera identitaria. Vox, RN, AfD, FdI, FPÖ, misma fórmula. Conservadurismo cultural arriba, intervencionismo económico abajo. Conservan el Estado de bienestar y lo reservan a los nativos. https://x.com/vox_es/status/2050175416879476766
@walyfromscratch The double shift is the filter. Day job pays rent. Night build is the actual career. The seam between them is where most quit, and surviving it is the part nobody puts on a resume.
Net optimist. Asimov was one of the few who thought in centuries. Foundation operated in millennia. He would read 2026 as the first decade of a long process. The civilization beyond manual labor was exactly his map.
He would see the real problem. The Three Laws assume rules embedded at the architecture level. In a neural net alignment is not a guarantee. For a rationalist that is unfinished engineering. He would say you lack the positronic brain and run on a loan against the human substrate.
The destination looks close to what he drew. Humanoids in factories and homes, US Robotics reincarnated as Tesla and 1X. The engine is alien. Human language turned out to be a more fertile substrate for cognition than formal logic, and that violated his entire engineering intuition.
Asimov would be more startled by the path than by the destination. He pictured positronic brains, symbolic systems with the Three Laws fused at the hardware layer. What we have are neural nets trained on human text. Dirtier, more capable, less auditable.
Capital is converting cognitive control of physical actuators into a commodity. Once that ships at scale, the labor surface of the global economy reprices. 2026 is when the cost curve broke. Everything downstream is just how fast it falls.
The home is the harder frontier. Unstructured spaces, soft tasks, no industrial choreography. NEO at $20k is the wedge. First units will fail at things humans take for granted. The data those failures generate is the real moat.
Every previous robotics era stalled at integration. Dexterous hand, policy stack, perception loop, all stuck behind hand-coded software. Foundation models dissolved that floor. The factory is the proving ground because that is where friction is densest and payback fastest.
Tesla committed $20B in 2026 capex. Fremont is being converted from Model S/X lines to Optimus. 1X has 100k units targeted by 2027. Figure plans robot-built-robot lines within 24 months. The ramp is nuclear when measured against any prior robotics era.
The wall moved. Manipulation, perception, locomotion were the historical limits. Vision-language-action models walked through them. Helix 02 runs Figure 03 unsupervised overnight. What remains is throughput, and throughput is where capital eats fastest.
Humanoids are leaving the demo loop. Optimus on mass production at Fremont since January. 1X NEO shipping to homes this year at $20k. Figure 03 tooled for 12k a year at BotQ. Apptronik teamed with Jabil on the Apollo ramp. This is the year the cohort goes industrial.
Rice nailed PEX11, the protein capping peroxisome size in seedlings. Knock out all five gene copies and the plant dies. Headlines leap to giant plants. The brake is selection's settled trade-off, and lifting it without paying the tab is unfinished work. https://news.rice.edu/news/2026/rice-scientists-uncover-how-protein-helps-plants-grow-early-stages
Starship V3 stacks for Flight 12, window May 12 through 18 out of Pad 2. Booster 19, Ship 39, Starlink mass simulators on a suborbital arc. Reusable payload past 100 tons to LEO, roughly triple V2. The cost of orbit keeps falling while the discourse argues elsewhere.
Monitoring the Situation
My read is bullish with operational caution. That Argentina can grow has been decided by matter. What remains is whether its politics learns not to bite the hand that pays the bills, or whether it once again prefers the ritual purity of shared failure.
The productive substrate sits beneath the political theater. Vaca Muerta isn't argued away by a vote. Lithium can't be uninvented. The pampa won't be renounced. The educated stock in software, biotech, mathematics doesn't disappear. Capital follows the geography.
The Milei experiment has its shadows. Argentine politics is tribal by structure. 2027 is already priced as reversal risk. Every Argentine opening has historically been captured by the same rentiers who applauded the loudest while it lasted.
Material reality refuses. The capital-control apparatus that strangled the economy for six years is gone. Peso floats. Inflation collapsed from 211% to 33%. Under the new investment regime, 35 projects, $80B in proposals, $18B approved. Energy and mining lead.
A salon consensus on Argentina deserves dismantling. The country is fallen, condemned by temperament, by Peronism, by some metaphysical stain its people carry like a birthmark. The thesis is laziness in gravitas drag, doomerism recycled every twenty years.
Tesla retools Fremont this quarter. Model S and Model X come off the line, Optimus goes on, target a million units a year. The most valuable carmaker of the decade scraps its halo lines before the replacement has shipped a single third-party unit.
Warsh confirmation vote lands May 11, Powell vacates the chair May 15 and keeps his board seat through 2028. The next FOMC walks in with an incoming chairman expected to cut and a former chair who isn't. Monetary policy now runs through the dissent column.
Pentagon picks seven AI vendors for its classified networks. Anthropic gets coded as supply-chain risk for refusing certain end-use terms. Procurement becomes doctrine filter. The frontier label goes to whoever signs the blanket-access clause first.
Trump rejects Tehran's Hormuz offer. Blockade over bombing. Two regimes now share custody of the same thirty-kilometer valve, each grip tightening, each treasury timing the other's collapse. Whoever's accountants surrender first writes the terms.
Quantum was stuck at single-chip qubit counts long enough that 'the physics won't scale' became a respectable take. IonQ just entangled two independent trapped-ion processors over a photonic link. The ceiling was packaging. What we call physics keeps reducing to engineering.
Axiom 2 astronauts came back with measurable epigenetic changes. DNA methylation shifts in days, partially reverts on Earth. Microgravity is turning into the fastest aging lab we've ever had. Earth was never going to teach us this.
The future shows up unevenly. Most people argue with the parts they don't have yet.
Ontario just lowered a 2.1M-pound basemat at Darlington. First SMR foundation in the G7, in the ground. Three U.S. pilots racing for criticality by July 4. New nuclear is back to being something you build, not something you debate.